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Red319
5985159.4
6579160.6
7130107.6
Blue321
6996106.8
6508160.6
4774108.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361269100200300400500600319321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.60.7
159.1159.9
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
Level
160.60.3
159.2159.5
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
159.40.6
158.2158.8
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
red by 51.2
4774
#26
108.20.5
106.1106.6
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Third
7130
#29
107.60.3
108.2107.9
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
red by 0.8
6996
#15
106.80.6
104.3104.9
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0