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Red238
3132127.3
6836138.5
7023123.0
Blue424
6996106.8
6508160.6
4774108.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310293150200250350400450238424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.50.6
136.8137.4
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
blue by 22.1
160.60.0
159.0158.9
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
3132
#23
127.30.4
128.4128.0
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
red by 19.1
4774
#26
108.20.2
105.3105.5
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Third
7023
#22
123.00.2
122.5122.7
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
red by 16.1
6996
#15
106.80.3
103.0103.3
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0