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Red346
3132127.3
6836138.5
7023123.0
Blue340
6996106.8
6508160.6
4774108.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023050100200400500600346340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.50.5
137.4138.0
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
blue by 22.1
160.60.1
158.9159.0
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
3132
#23
127.30.4
128.0127.6
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
red by 19.1
4774
#26
108.20.3
105.5105.8
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Third
7023
#22
123.00.1
122.7122.8
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
red by 16.1
6996
#15
106.80.5
103.3103.8
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0