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Red283
5593126.7
7023123.0
6118111.1
Blue300
6083120.0
7074136.7
6508160.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553150100200400500600700800283300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5593
#13
126.77.0
102.2109.1
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
blue by 33.9
160.67.6
119.3126.9
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
7023
#22
123.07.0
91.698.6
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
blue by 13.7
136.712.1
92.4104.5
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
Third
6118
#24
111.17.6
90.297.8
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
blue by 8.9
6083
#16
120.05.8
86.492.2
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed