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Red376
6191110.6
6204112.6
4253193.3
Blue201
4537132.8
4802115.9
4774108.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302460100200300400500600376201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.31.2
166.9168.1
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End29.4
red by 60.5
4537
#12
132.85.4
105.4110.7
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Second
6204
#27
112.68.6
94.6103.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
blue by 3.2
4802
#17
115.912.0
88.8100.9
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
6191
#18
110.66.8
93.2100.0
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
red by 2.3
4774
#26
108.25.8
102.4108.2
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed