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Red367
7074136.7
6836138.5
5985159.4
Blue117
481787.2
4739100.4
7023123.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312238100200400500367117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.411.6
105.0116.6
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
red by 36.5
7023
#22
123.013.9
77.791.6
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
Second
138.512.6
77.790.4
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
red by 38.1
4739
#19
100.410.5
76.386.8
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
Third
136.714.6
77.792.4
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
red by 49.5
4817
#28
87.28.3
85.693.9
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed