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Red158
6083120.0
6118111.1
3008140.7
Blue506
5983107.3
4802115.9
4613196.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453160100200400500600700158506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.78.0
105.2113.2
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
blue by 55.5
196.210.6
119.2129.8
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
Second
6083
#16
120.09.9
76.586.4
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
red by 4.1
4802
#17
115.914.4
74.488.8
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
6118
#24
111.112.6
77.690.2
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
red by 3.8
5983
#14
107.310.2
80.090.1
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed