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Red277
7130107.6
6024138.8
6520120.6
Blue335
3008140.7
6998114.6
5985159.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278302100200400500277335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#11
138.89.4
108.7118.1
Auto17.1
Teleop105.3
End18.2
blue by 20.6
159.410.2
116.6126.8
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
Second
6520
#25
120.69.7
90.199.8
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
blue by 20.0
3008
#20
140.74.4
113.2117.7
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
Third
7130
#29
107.67.2
92.499.6
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
blue by 6.9
114.68.2
86.794.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed