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Red476
4537132.8
6836138.5
4613196.2
Blue115
6191110.6
3132127.3
4774108.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324285100200400500476115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.29.2
139.4148.6
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
red by 68.9
3132
#23
127.34.4
137.6141.9
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
Second
138.57.7
101.1108.9
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
red by 28.0
6191
#18
110.66.6
100.0106.5
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
Third
4537
#12
132.83.6
110.7114.3
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
red by 24.5
4774
#26
108.23.8
108.2112.0
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed