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Red381
7278132.0
4253193.3
4739100.4
Blue224
6998114.6
6434135.6
3008140.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327262100200300400500381224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.31.8
168.1169.9
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End29.4
red by 52.6
3008
#20
140.72.6
117.7120.3
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
Second
132.04.5
102.6107.1
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
blue by 3.6
6434
#10
135.67.4
119.2126.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End11.3
Third
4739
#19
100.45.8
91.697.4
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
blue by 14.2
114.65.0
94.999.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed