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Red373
7130107.6
5985159.4
5983107.3
Blue158
6996106.8
5593126.7
481787.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112420100200400500600373158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.46.4
126.8133.2
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
red by 32.7
5593
#13
126.74.7
109.1113.9
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
Second
7130
#29
107.65.7
99.6105.2
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
red by 0.8
6996
#15
106.86.7
96.5103.2
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
Third
5983
#14
107.33.3
99.3102.6
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
red by 20.1
4817
#28
87.22.3
97.199.4
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed