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Red190
4802115.9
618799.6
7074136.7
Blue211
6520120.6
5331125.6
6118111.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301268100200400500600190211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.79.3
104.5113.8
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
red by 11.1
5331
#21
125.64.1
111.6115.7
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
Second
4802
#17
115.98.0
100.9108.9
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
blue by 4.8
6520
#25
120.67.3
99.8107.1
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
Third
6187
#30
99.62.1
96.298.4
Auto15.2
Teleop77.6
End8.4
blue by 11.5
6118
#24
111.15.1
97.8102.9
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed