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Red227
6579160.6
6083120.0
6204112.6
Blue357
6024138.8
7023123.0
6508160.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297314100200400500600227357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.67.1
139.4146.4
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
Level
160.66.3
126.9133.2
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
6083
#16
120.05.0
92.297.3
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
blue by 18.8
6024
#11
138.87.2
118.1125.2
Auto17.1
Teleop105.3
End18.2
Third
6204
#27
112.67.8
103.1110.9
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
blue by 10.3
7023
#22
123.04.7
98.6103.3
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed