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Red306
5331125.6
6836138.5
618799.6
Blue365
3008140.7
5593126.7
7074136.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281291150200250350400450306365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.58.2
108.9117.0
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
blue by 2.2
3008
#20
140.71.6
120.3121.8
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
Second
5331
#21
125.62.4
115.7118.1
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
blue by 11.1
136.75.2
113.8119.0
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
Third
6187
#30
99.60.6
98.498.9
Auto15.2
Teleop77.6
End8.4
blue by 27.1
5593
#13
126.71.5
113.9115.4
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed