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Red134
6996106.8
4537132.8
6191110.6
Blue202
6024138.8
4739100.4
4802115.9
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463130100200400500600134202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#12
132.81.4
119.6121.0
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
blue by 6.1
6024
#11
138.86.0
131.7137.6
Auto17.1
Teleop105.3
End18.2
Second
6191
#18
110.60.4
106.8106.5
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
blue by 5.3
4802
#17
115.94.4
113.3117.6
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
6996
#15
106.84.3
106.0110.2
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
red by 6.4
4739
#19
100.40.8
101.8102.6
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed