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Qual 312018 Southern Cross Regional
Red319
4613196.2
5331125.6
6579160.6
Blue283
6520120.6
3132127.3
4253193.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352324200250300400450500319283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
196.28.3
166.2→174.5
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
red by 2.9
4253
#1
193.32.0
173.5→175.5
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End29.4
Second
6579
#3
160.60.2
150.3→150.1
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
red by 33.3
3132
#23
127.32.1
137.5→135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
Third
5331
#21
125.61.8
119.3→121.2
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
red by 4.9
6520
#25
120.64.2
114.1→118.3
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed