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Red309
3008140.7
7278132.0
4537132.8
Blue25
6024138.8
481787.2
5985159.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28632710020040050030925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.74.7
125.1129.8
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
blue by 18.7
159.44.2
144.9149.1
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
Second
4537
#12
132.80.7
121.0120.2
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
blue by 6.1
6024
#11
138.82.8
137.6140.4
Auto17.1
Teleop105.3
End18.2
Third
132.02.6
115.1117.7
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
red by 44.8
4817
#28
87.20.2
98.899.0
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed