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Red343
4739100.4
6508160.6
6434135.6
Blue258
6191110.6
7074136.7
7023123.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162510100200400500343258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.64.9
145.5150.3
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
red by 23.9
136.73.5
124.7128.2
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
Second
6434
#10
135.61.6
132.1133.7
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End11.3
red by 12.7
7023
#22
123.01.5
112.7114.2
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
Third
4739
#19
100.40.5
102.6102.1
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
blue by 10.1
6191
#18
110.61.9
106.5104.6
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed