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Red328
4774108.2
5593126.7
6204112.6
Blue158
6996106.8
6118111.1
5983107.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279277200250300350400328158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5593
#13
126.72.8
118.7121.5
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
red by 15.6
6118
#24
111.12.5
109.6112.1
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
Second
6204
#27
112.60.1
117.2117.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
red by 5.3
5983
#14
107.31.8
107.3109.1
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
Third
4774
#26
108.20.8
111.5112.4
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
red by 1.4
6996
#15
106.81.2
110.2111.5
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed