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Qual 42018 Southern Cross Regional
Red158
4774108.2
5331125.6
6083120.0
Blue325
5985159.4
6520120.6
7278132.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812680100200400500600158325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5331
#21
125.615.1
82.3→97.4
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
blue by 33.8
5985
#4
159.414.2
90.8→105.0
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
Second
6083
#16
120.017.8
58.8→76.5
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
blue by 12.1
7278
#7
132.054.3
132.0→77.7
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Third
4774
#26
108.215.6
78.3→93.9
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
blue by 12.4
6520
#25
120.617.8
58.3→76.2
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed