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Red143
4739100.4
5983107.3
3008140.7
Blue365
6579160.6
4802115.9
6191110.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682850100200400500600700143365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.714.2
91.0105.2
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
blue by 19.9
160.612.6
106.3118.9
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
Second
5983
#14
107.317.3
62.680.0
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
blue by 8.6
4802
#17
115.918.1
56.474.4
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
4739
#19
100.417.8
58.576.3
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
blue by 10.1
6191
#18
110.617.4
61.879.2
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed