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Red278
6836138.5
6520120.6
7023123.0
Blue352
6118111.1
7278132.0
6508160.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296325100200400500600278352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.52.5
129.3131.8
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
blue by 22.1
160.61.3
156.4157.7
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
Second
7023
#22
123.01.9
117.9119.8
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
blue by 9.1
132.03.1
124.7127.8
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Third
6520
#25
120.60.3
121.8121.4
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
red by 9.6
6118
#24
111.10.1
113.0113.1
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed