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Red214
618799.6
6996106.8
4739100.4
Blue411
4537132.8
5985159.4
6083120.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1533820100200300500600214411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#15
106.83.6
106.7103.2
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
blue by 52.6
159.41.5
148.2149.8
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
Second
4739
#19
100.41.0
101.8100.8
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
blue by 32.3
4537
#12
132.82.6
125.3127.9
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Third
6187
#30
99.61.0
97.098.0
Auto15.2
Teleop77.6
End8.4
blue by 20.4
6083
#16
120.02.6
109.3111.9
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed