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Red172
481787.2
3008140.7
7130107.6
Blue283
3132127.3
4774108.2
5593126.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273300100200400500172283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.71.1
139.7140.8
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
red by 13.4
3132
#23
127.30.2
131.5131.3
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
Second
7130
#29
107.60.0
113.4113.4
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
blue by 19.1
5593
#13
126.70.2
125.7125.9
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
Third
4817
#28
87.22.1
94.492.3
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
blue by 21.0
4774
#26
108.22.7
110.6107.9
Auto15.9
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed