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Red311
7074136.7
6204112.6
481787.2
Blue222
7130107.6
7278132.0
5331125.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523110100200400500600311222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.71.9
131.9133.8
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
red by 4.7
132.02.5
127.8130.3
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Second
6204
#27
112.61.6
116.9115.3
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
blue by 12.9
5331
#21
125.61.1
123.2124.3
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
Third
4817
#28
87.22.9
92.389.4
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
blue by 20.4
7130
#29
107.61.5
113.4111.8
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed