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Red184
6508160.6
3132127.3
5983107.3
Blue354
5985159.4
6996106.8
4802115.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311282100150200250350400450184354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.61.3
157.7159.0
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
red by 1.2
159.42.4
149.8152.1
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
Second
3132
#23
127.30.1
131.3131.4
Auto18.4
Teleop92.7
End14.2
red by 11.4
4802
#17
115.91.9
120.6118.7
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
5983
#14
107.30.5
107.5108.0
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
red by 0.5
6996
#15
106.81.3
103.2101.9
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed