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Red144
6575115.6
6035116.8
6509121.0
Blue407
6432128.0
5584178.6
4614113.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542800100200400500144407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
#28
121.016.5
70.286.7
Auto14.6
Teleop83.8
End26.3
blue by 57.6
178.616.6
69.285.8
Auto24.8
Teleop122.2
End33.1
Second
6035
#15
116.817.2
64.081.2
Auto14.3
Teleop90.0
End15.5
blue by 11.2
6432
#14
128.015.7
77.292.9
Auto18.9
Teleop94.4
End15.0
Third
6575
#17
115.618.3
54.672.8
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
red by 2.0
4614
#36
113.617.5
60.878.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed