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Qual 22018 South Pacific Regional
Red236
4774136.3
6440107.1
6579181.6
Blue351
711395.4
4613205.2
5331144.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264355100200300400500236351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
#3
181.61.9
160.6→162.5
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
blue by 23.6
4613
#4
205.20.4
196.2→196.5
Auto25.2
Teleop148.5
End29.1
Second
4774
#13
136.31.5
108.2→109.7
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
blue by 8.6
5331
#8
144.80.5
125.6→126.1
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
Third
6440
#27
107.119.6
43.2→62.8
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End10.1
red by 11.7
7113
#30
95.417.7
95.4→77.7
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed