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Red275
4729126.9
5663159.5
5876101.1
Blue122
6434134.1
712899.6
6525119.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263274100150200300350400275122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.516.0
74.190.1
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
red by 25.3
6434
#12
134.10.4
135.6135.2
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Second
4729
#19
126.917.0
65.782.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
red by 7.4
6525
#24
119.417.8
58.376.2
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
Third
5876
#31
101.116.7
68.485.1
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
red by 1.5
7128
#35
99.625.2
103.077.7
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed