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Red446
4774136.3
5584178.6
6525119.4
Blue238
6434134.1
6007132.1
4801104.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273267250300350400446238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.611.9
100.4112.3
Auto24.8
Teleop122.2
End33.1
red by 44.4
6434
#12Sur
134.10.6
134.0133.3
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Second
4774
#13Sur
136.32.6
110.8113.3
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
red by 4.2
6007
#39
132.17.7
90.998.7
Auto17.5
Teleop96.1
End17.7
Third
6525
#24
119.44.5
85.790.2
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
red by 14.7
4801
#32
104.75.2
89.294.4
Auto13.4
Teleop82.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed