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Red283
6510148.1
6440107.1
712899.6
Blue50
6050114.5
5564111.4
6432128.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642375010015020030035040045028350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#7Sur
148.110.5
107.9118.5
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
red by 20.1
6432
#14
128.06.4
106.9113.3
Auto18.9
Teleop94.4
End15.0
Second
6440
#27
107.110.5
75.686.1
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End10.1
blue by 7.3
6050
#20
114.53.8
97.5101.3
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
Third
7128
#35
99.64.6
87.291.8
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
blue by 11.8
5564
#29
111.47.2
86.193.4
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed