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Qual 392018 South Pacific Regional
Red392
4801104.7
6432128.0
712899.6
Blue155
6007132.1
5564111.4
644990.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277223100150200250300350400392155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6432
#14
128.02.7
117.6→120.3
Auto18.9
Teleop94.4
End15.0
blue by 4.1
6007
#39
132.15.6
109.0→114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop96.1
End17.7
Second
4801
#32
104.70.3
100.5→100.2
Auto13.4
Teleop82.4
End7.7
blue by 6.6
5564
#29
111.43.0
97.3→100.2
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
Third
7128
#35
99.61.0
97.5→96.5
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
red by 9.3
6449
#26
90.32.0
89.2→87.3
Auto13.3
Teleop70.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed