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Red118
6050114.5
3132142.2
5876101.1
Blue411
6813118.0
4613205.2
6510148.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1404240100200300500600700118411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.21.9
131.9133.9
Auto20.1
Teleop95.7
End31.4
blue by 63.0
205.20.8
199.4200.2
Auto25.2
Teleop148.5
End29.1
Second
6050
#20
114.53.4
104.2107.5
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
blue by 33.6
148.14.6
136.1140.7
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
Third
5876
#31
101.12.2
100.097.9
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
blue by 16.9
118.03.3
111.8115.1
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed