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Red226
6525119.4
6509121.0
711395.4
Blue199
6063103.7
5333121.9
4802108.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260259150200300350226199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
#28
121.02.5
111.2113.6
Auto14.6
Teleop83.8
End26.3
blue by 0.9
5333
#25
121.92.1
112.7114.8
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4
Second
6525
#24
119.45.4
107.0112.5
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
red by 10.6
4802
#34
108.80.7
110.1109.4
Auto13.9
Teleop81.0
End12.8
Third
7113
#30
95.40.2
96.396.5
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
blue by 8.3
6063
#16
103.71.0
104.5105.5
Auto17.0
Teleop75.3
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed