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Red396
6579181.6
5564111.4
6024147.7
Blue298
4614113.6
6476124.8
4729126.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832460100200300500396298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.61.7
169.8171.5
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
red by 54.8
4729
#19
126.94.3
112.8117.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Second
6024
#10
147.71.7
141.0142.6
Auto20.8
Teleop106.0
End20.4
red by 22.9
6476
#21
124.81.5
128.9127.4
Auto16.9
Teleop92.0
End20.5
Third
5564
#29
111.43.1
100.2103.3
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
blue by 2.3
4614
#36
113.61.6
112.3110.7
Auto14.9
Teleop82.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed