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Red331
4801104.7
6434134.1
5331144.8
Blue178
6575115.6
5988120.2
5648107.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30225950100150200350400450331178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.82.1
131.6133.6
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
red by 24.6
5988
#22
120.23.0
113.7116.8
Auto15.6
Teleop90.6
End14.7
Second
6434
#12
134.10.8
130.8130.0
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
red by 18.5
6575
#17
115.65.5
103.4108.9
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
Third
4801
#32
104.70.3
100.2100.5
Auto13.4
Teleop82.4
End7.7
blue by 2.2
5648
#23
107.00.3
97.798.0
Auto16.1
Teleop76.4
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed