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Red122
7050101.2
7124103.7
7163103.3
Blue383
6083133.8
6440107.1
5663159.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163300100300400500122383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7124
#37
103.71.0
113.3112.2
Auto15.6
Teleop79.2
End14.0
blue by 55.8
159.56.2
130.4136.6
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
Second
7163
#33
103.30.9
107.8108.7
Auto15.4
Teleop74.9
End12.3
blue by 30.5
6083
#18
133.81.5
124.9126.5
Auto14.5
Teleop102.0
End19.2
Third
7050
#38
101.22.0
103.3105.2
Auto14.9
Teleop82.6
End1.8
blue by 6.0
6440
#27
107.12.2
99.8102.0
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed