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Red414
5876101.1
5985186.2
5648107.0
Blue219
5331144.8
6063103.7
6007132.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310297100200400500414219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.22.0
172.5174.6
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
red by 41.4
144.82.6
135.9138.5
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
Second
5648
#23
107.00.2
97.397.5
Auto16.1
Teleop76.4
End16.5
blue by 25.1
6007
#39
132.14.4
123.8128.2
Auto17.5
Teleop96.1
End17.7
Third
5876
#31
101.10.1
96.796.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
blue by 2.6
6063
#16
103.71.0
106.6105.7
Auto17.0
Teleop75.3
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed