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Red223
711395.4
7163103.3
6510148.1
Blue373
7050101.2
4774136.3
4614113.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289256100200400500223373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.10.1
143.9144.1
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
red by 11.8
4774
#13
136.32.1
126.4128.4
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Second
7163
#33
103.30.9
107.2106.3
Auto15.4
Teleop74.9
End12.3
blue by 10.4
4614
#36
113.60.4
110.2110.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.0
End16.3
Third
7113
#30
95.41.1
97.596.4
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
blue by 5.8
7050
#38
101.22.3
104.5102.2
Auto14.9
Teleop82.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed