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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Arizona North Regional
Red413
1011171.2
2122176.9
2073138.8
Blue164
3853133.6
1836155.2
668130.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418244100200300500600413164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
176.91.0
174.3→175.3
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 21.7
1836
#9
155.20.1
155.2→155.3
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Second
1011
#5
171.21.1
167.7→168.8
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 37.6
3853
#11
133.60.6
132.2→132.8
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Third
2073
#31
138.80.7
137.4→138.1
Auto17.5
Teleop114.4
End6.9
red by 8.3
668
#17
130.50.5
129.3→129.9
Auto21.1
Teleop102.7
End5.7