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Red366
1011171.2
2122176.9
4603137.6
Blue312
987162.4
2486155.4
5059121.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363296200400500366312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.90.1
177.4177.4
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 14.5
987
#12
162.40.6
161.8162.4
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
Second
171.20.0
171.4171.5
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 15.7
155.40.1
155.4155.4
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
Third
4603
#13
137.60.2
138.4138.2
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
red by 16.6
5059
#40
121.00.5
120.5121.0
Auto16.3
Teleop92.4
End13.8