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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Arizona North Regional
Red323
1011171.2
2122176.9
4603137.6
Blue289
3853133.6
1836155.2
668130.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410258100200300500600323289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
176.90.5
176.2→176.8
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 21.7
1836
#9
155.20.0
155.2→155.2
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Second
1011
#5
171.20.6
169.9→170.5
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 37.6
3853
#11
133.60.4
133.2→133.6
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Third
4603
#13
137.60.4
137.5→137.9
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
red by 7.1
668
#17
130.50.3
130.2→130.5
Auto21.1
Teleop102.7
End5.7