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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Arizona North Regional
Red398
987162.4
2486155.4
5059121.0
Blue322
4146127.9
8145.2
3309140.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348301100200400500398322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#12
162.40.8
158.7→159.5
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
red by 17.3
8
#8
145.21.4
142.5→143.9
Auto22.0
Teleop114.3
End12.2
Second
2486
#3
155.40.0
155.1→155.1
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
red by 14.9
3309
#26
140.51.3
138.1→139.3
Auto19.5
Teleop102.9
End21.3
Third
5059
#40
121.00.6
118.1→118.8
Auto16.3
Teleop92.4
End13.8
blue by 6.9
4146
#41
127.90.2
127.6→127.8
Auto19.2
Teleop94.0
End11.8