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Red358
6585121.6
6314135.8
1011171.2
Blue179
3009128.9
2403134.3
3250135.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28130902004006008001,000358179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.213.4
98.5111.9
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 35.4
3250
#37
135.814.1
91.7105.9
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
Second
6314
#20
135.813.5
97.1110.7
Auto16.8
Teleop104.0
End16.5
red by 1.4
2403
#29
134.313.6
96.9110.5
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
Third
6585
#32
121.618.5
52.871.3
Auto15.4
Teleop97.1
End10.0
blue by 7.3
3009
#58
128.915.2
81.596.7
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed