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Red327
3577114.9
2478144.1
3853133.6
Blue163
991125.8
648295.2
3785116.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792720100200400500600700327163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.114.6
87.1101.7
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
red by 18.3
991
#35
125.815.4
79.795.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End11.1
Second
3853
#11
133.617.3
63.280.5
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
red by 17.0
3785
#57
116.616.0
74.190.2
Auto16.2
Teleop81.4
End18.5
Third
3577
#38
114.916.6
69.185.7
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End14.0
red by 19.6
6482
#52
95.217.6
60.478.0
Auto14.4
Teleop74.0
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed