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Red128
4565148.2
3925118.1
1828100.9
Blue237
4415133.4
2073138.8
3187110.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283297100200400500128237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#18
148.214.4
89.6103.9
Auto18.1
Teleop109.2
End25.1
red by 9.3
2073
#31
138.813.8
94.8108.6
Auto17.5
Teleop114.4
End6.9
Second
3925
#36
118.114.8
85.2100.0
Auto17.2
Teleop92.5
End9.1
blue by 15.2
4415
#28
133.414.9
84.499.3
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
Third
1828
#54
100.916.6
68.785.4
Auto13.8
Teleop83.8
End4.8
blue by 9.2
3187
#39
110.116.0
74.890.8
Auto13.4
Teleop85.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed