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Red458
2073138.8
254213.8
842174.5
Blue131
6968121.2
6060129.3
2403134.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882120100300500600700458131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
213.88.7
156.8165.5
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
red by 79.4
2403
#29
134.37.5
110.5118.0
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
Second
842
#4
174.512.9
102.9115.8
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
red by 45.1
6060
#25
129.310.5
90.8101.4
Auto15.7
Teleop93.3
End18.2
Third
2073
#31
138.87.3
108.6115.9
Auto17.5
Teleop114.4
End6.9
red by 17.6
6968
#19
121.210.0
77.787.8
Auto15.3
Teleop93.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed