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Red284
991125.8
996115.6
6314135.8
Blue20
6127104.1
6871116.9
2437101.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317237010020040050060028420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6314
#20
135.811.1
110.7121.8
Auto16.8
Teleop104.0
End16.5
red by 18.8
6871
#10
116.913.4
77.791.2
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Second
991
#35
125.88.0
95.1103.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End11.1
red by 21.8
6127
#53
104.19.5
76.385.8
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
Third
996
#44
115.611.4
88.499.8
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.2
red by 14.0
2437
#46
101.616.5
69.986.4
Auto15.4
Teleop78.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed