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Red269
1138114.6
3925118.1
2637135.0
Blue267
5539111.5
2135128.1
6413119.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286288260270280300310320269267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#16
135.04.8
110.8115.7
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End13.4
red by 6.9
2135
#42
128.17.6
113.4121.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End20.6
Second
3925
#36
118.16.1
108.3114.3
Auto17.2
Teleop92.5
End9.1
blue by 1.7
6413
#60
119.84.7
116.6121.3
Auto16.4
Teleop84.7
End18.5
Third
1138
#48
114.64.3
104.6108.8
Auto15.5
Teleop88.3
End14.7
red by 3.1
5539
#50
111.58.0
90.498.4
Auto15.3
Teleop79.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed