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Qual 222018 Arizona North Regional
Red149
58596.0
3577114.9
6530134.9
Blue372
3019136.9
987162.4
4183149.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553380100200300400500600149372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6530
#47
134.99.5
118.6→128.1
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End20.2
blue by 27.5
987
#12
162.40.5
152.0→152.6
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
Second
3577
#38
114.98.6
98.2→106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End14.0
blue by 34.2
4183
#7
149.17.5
120.5→128.0
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
Third
585
#55
96.04.0
94.9→98.8
Auto12.8
Teleop81.6
End-1.3
blue by 40.9
3019
#34
136.95.5
107.7→113.2
Auto15.1
Teleop105.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed